DETERMINAN INFLASI REGIONAL KOTA-KOTA DI PROVINSI JAWA BARAT TAHUN 2000 - 2009

Authors

  • Telisa Aulia Falianty Universitas Indonesia
  • Luthfi Hanifah Universitas Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31685/kek.v16i1.24

Keywords:

Inflasi, regional, PAD, upah minimum, infrastruktur

Abstract

This research is intended to analyze determining variables of regional inflation at cities of West Java Province during 2000 - 2009. This study is motivated by the facts that inflation is known as an important indicator for economic development planning. Therefore, managing inflation rate become important for government to arrange their national development planning. Managing national inflation should follow whit managing regional inflation. Thus, identijying regional inflation determining variables become important process for managing phase of regional inflation. Approximation for regional inflation determining variable are monetary variables and non monetary variables. Monetary variables consist of real interest rate, while non monetary variables consist of regional indigenous income (PAD), regional expenditure, infrastructure condition, minimum wages rate, and inflation rate of DKl Jakarta. Method research for analysis is utilizes data panel regression Of G2SLS (Generalized two stage least square) with fixed effect method. The findings of this study point out that regional inflation at cities of West Java Province significantly affected by real interest rate, minimum wages rate, infrastructure condition, inflation rate of DKl Jakarta, regional indigenous income (PAD), and regional expenditure. Thus, shown that cost push effect system and demand pull effect system is work on to determine regional inflation at cities of West Java Province. This research also finding that regional that regional interaction is influencing regional inflation rate as shown on interaction between DKl Jakarta Province and cities in West Java Province which presumtive cause by distribution system of goods, commodity, and services from production area to consumption area.

References

Anton H. Gunawan. (1991). Anggaran Pemerintah dan Inflasi di Indonesia. Jakarta : Gramedia Pustaka Utama. Abdul Aleem Khan, Syed Kalim Hyder Bukhari. (2007). Determinan of recent inflation in Pakistan. MPRA Paper No. 16254. Pakistan. Akinboade O.A., Niedermeier, E.W, & Siebrits, F.K. (2001, September). South Africa's Inflation Dynamics: Implications for Policy. Paper presented at The 75th Anniversary Conference of the Economic Society of South Africa at Glenburn Lodge, Johannesburg. Aaron Mohrotra. (2007], Modeling inflation in China, A regional prespective. Bank of Finland, BOFIT Institute for Economies in Transition. Akhis R Hutabarat. (2005). Determinan Inflasi di Indonesia. Occasional Paper No.06/2005. Jakarta : Bank Indonesia. Badi H Baltagi. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Datas 3rd edition. England: Springer. Basu Swastha Dh. & Irawan (1997). Manajemen Pemasaran Moderen Edisi II. Bandung: Libertry. Blanchard, D. Oliver. (2003). Macroeconomics, 3rd edition. United State of America : Prentice Hall. Boediono. (1997). Seri Sinopsis Pengantar Ilmu Ekonomi No: 2 ; Ekonomi Makro, edisi keempat. Yogyakarta : BPFE. Badan Pusat Statistik. Daerah Dalam Angka berbagai terbitan tahun 2000 - 2009. Kota-Kota di Propinsi Jawa Barat. Bambang PS Brodjonegoro, Telisa Aulia F & Beta Y. Gitaharie (2005). Determinant factors of regional inflation in decentralized Indonesia, Economics and Finance Jurnal, Vol.5 no.l. Jakarta : Lembaga Penelitian Ekonomi Masyarakat Universitas Indonesia. Bambang PS Brodjonegoro. (2001). Otonomi Daerah dan Kebijakan Fiskal Indonesia, disampaikan saat seminar Bank Indonesia. Beta Yulianita G. Laksono. (2005). Indentiflkasi jalur mekanisme transmisi dan efektifitas kebijakan moneter dalam mencapai tingkat inflasi yang mendukung pertumbuhan ekonomi daerah. Desertasi Fakultas Ekonomi Jakarta : Universitas Indonesia. Cesar Calderon and Klaus Schmidt.( 2009). What drive inflation in the world. Washington, DC : The World Bank. Dornbusch R. & Fisher, S. (1998). Macro Economics (7th Ed.). McGraw Hill. International Editions. Damodar Gujarati. (1995). Basic Econometrics.Third Edition. McGraw Hill International Editions. David Romer. (2006). Advanced Macro Econonomic, 3rd edition, New York : McGraw-Hill Companies. Inc. Dorel Ailenei & Cristescu Amalia. (2010). Regional distribution of inflationary pressure in Rumania, No. 4/2010. Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting. Dalai M.N. & Schacher G. (1988). Transmission of International Inflation to India : A Structural Analisis. The Journal of Developing Areas, No. 23, halaman 85-104. Enrique Alberola & Jose Manuel Marques, (1999). On the relevance and nature of regional inflation differentials : the case of Spain, Documento de Trabajo, No. 9913. Banco de Espana-Servicio de Estudios. Frederich S. Mishkin. (1995). Economics Of Money Banking and Financial Market Fifth Edition. Harper Collins College Publisher. Gregory Mankiw. (2007). Macro Economic (6th edition) (Fitria Liza dan Imam Nurmawan, penerjemah).Jakarta : Penerbit Erlangga. Guenter W.Beck, Kristin Hubrich & Massimiliano Maecellino. (2009). A regional inflation dynamics with in and across euro area countries and a comparison with united state. Economic Policy Printed in Great Britain. Gluschenko Konstantin. (2001). Inter-regional Variability of Inflation Rates. Economics Education and Research Consortium. Working Paper No 99/17. Rusia. Helena Marques. (2009). Regional inflation dynamics using space-time models. Universidad de las Islas Baleares.Spain. Heriberta. (1997). Inflasi dan Pembiayaan Pengeluaran Pemerintah Suatu Analisis dan Aplikasi di Indonesia, Tesis, Fakultas Ekonomi UI. Jakarta : Universitas Indonesia. Hadi Sasana. (2004). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Inflasi di Indonesia dan Filipina. Jurnal Bisnis dan Ekonomi, vol 11, no 2, 207-220. Hartadi Sarwono.(2011). Disampaikan pada Rapat Koordinasi Wilayah Tim Pengendalian Inflasi Jawa Barat - Banten - Jakarta. Jakarta : Bank Indonesia Insukrindro. (1995). Ekonomi Uang dan Bank, Teori dan Pengalaman di Indonesia. Yogjakarta: BPFE UGM. Inoue Takeshi. (2005). The Determinants of the Inflation Rate in Transition Countries, vol.42, No.l, Jan. 2005. Japan. Jun Nagayasu. (2009). Regional Inflation in China. MPRA Paper No. 24722. China. Philip Kotler. (1995). Manajemen Pemasaran: Analisis, Perencanaan, Implementasi dan Pengendalian, terjemahan Ancella Anitawati Hermawan, Edisi VIII. Jakarta: Salemba Empat. Matthew B. Canzoneri & E. Cumby Robert, et all. (2006). New Keynesian Explanations of Cyclical Movements in Aggregate Inflation and Regional Inflation Differentials. Open economies review 17: 27-55. Netherland : Springer Science Business Media, Inc. Muchdarsyah Sinungan. (2002). Manajemen Dana Bank. Jakarta: Bumi Aksara. Nachrowi D Nachrowi & Hardius Usman. (2006). Ekonometrika untuk analisis ekonomi dan keuangan. Jakarta: Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia. Nopirin. (1992). Ekonomi Internasional edisi 3. Yogyakarta : BPFE. Novi Lestari. (2003). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Inflasi Pada Perekonomian Regional Indonesia (Studi Kasus 26 Provinsi). Tesis, Fakultas Ekonomi UI. Jakarta : Universitas Indonesia. Nuning Trihadmini. (2004). Analisis Determinan Inflasi di Indonesia Periode 1998 - 2002. Tesis Fakultas Ekonomi UI. Jakarta : Universitas Indonesia. Nugroho J. Prastowo. (2008). Pengaruh Distribusi dalam Pembentukan Harga komoditas dan Implikasinya Terhadap Inflasi. Working Paper WP/07/2008. Jakarta: Bank Indonesia. Paul A. Samuelson. (1997). Macro economics, 4th edition. New York : McGraw-Hill Companies. Inc. Rizki E Wimanda. (2006). Regional Inflation in Indonesia-.Characteristic, Convergence, and Determinants. Working Paper No. WP/13/2006.Jakarta : Bank Indonesia. Suwardjoko Warpani. (1990). Merencanakan Sistem Perangkutan. Bandung: Penerbit ITB. Sara Lemos. (2004). The Effect of the Minimum Wage on Prices in Brazil. United Kingdom : University of Leicester and IZA Bonn. Sadono Sukirno. (2000). Makroekonomi Modern-. Perkembangan Pemikiran Dari Klasik Hingga Keynesian Baru. Jakarta: Raja Grafindo Pustaka. S Djojohadikusumo. (1994). Perkembangan Pemikiran Ekonomi, Dasar Teori Ekonomi Pertumbuhan dan Ekonomi Pembangunan. Jakarta :-LP3ES. Syamsurijal. (2008). Pengaruh produksi beras, stockberas dan infrastruktur jalan dan jembatan terhadap inflasi di Sumatera Selatan, Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Volume 6 nomor : 2 Desember 2008. Suseno & Piter Abdullah.(2003). Sistem dan Kebijakan Perbankan di Indonesia. Pusat Pendidikan dan Studi Kebanksentralan BI. Jakarta : Bank Indonesia. Warren J. Keegan. (2003). Manajemen Pemasaran Global, Alih Bahasa, Alexander Sindoro dan Tanty Syahlina Tarigan. Prenhalindo: Jakarta. William H. Greene. (2003). Econometric Analysis.5th edition. New York University : Prentise Hall. William .M. Scarth. (1996). Macroeconomics : an Introduction to Advance Methods, 2nd ed. International Thomson Publishing. Wing W. Winarno. 2009. Analisis Ekonometrika dan Statistika Dengan EViews, UPP, STIM YKPN. Yogyakarta. Wooldridge. J.M. (2006). Introductory Econometrics: a modern approach. 3ed Vineris and Sebold. (1977). Macroeconomics Models and Policy. New York : John wiley and Sons Inc.

Downloads

Published

2015-11-09

Issue

Vol. 16 No. 1 (2012)

Section

Articles

License

STATEMENT OF AUTHENTICITY AND COPYRIGHT RELEASE

I hereby certify that:

  1. The article (Article title) is authentic and never being published previously or will be published in other publication as well as not a plagiarism in any form.
  1. The article does not have any issue with other parties, regarding of the publication copyright.
  1. All the authors have read this statement and agree with the name and sequence.
  1. Hereby, I transfer the copyright of my article (Article title) to the KEK Editorial Board . this copyright transfer includes a right to reproduce a photograph for the similar article and its translation. This is also including a right to upload the article into a computer system which disseminated widely on the internet.
  1. Hereby, I agree with my article (Article title) to be published by KEK Volume (xx) Edition (x), under Creative Common Attribution- NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 licensing. This is also including a right to upload the article into a computer system which disseminated widely on the internet.

Name : (Full Name)
Date : (Signing date)